We’re Smarter Than That

Published November 25, 2003 by John

So what if Microsoft has 98% of the desktop OS market, and they aren’t slowing down? Robert Cringely ponders where their .NET juggernaut will end, and as a side note has a link to a ZDNet artice on the convergence of Java and .NET.

Is the single language (C#), single vendor (MS), single platform (.NET) world as inevitable as all that? Well, I’m one of many who chafe at monoculture and herd mentality, and while IT managers may be more herd-like than others, I can’t believe that corporate management will not look around and see the danger they’re getting into.

I’m sure that I’ve got too parochial a life to make valid predictions on the long view of Microsoft’s dominance and its effects, but something tells me that somethings got to give pretty soon - the same trajectory that Microsoft has been on can’t go on forever, and as it finds the inevitable resistance, things are going to get volatile.

I find the predictions interesting and amusing to read, and worth thinking about, but this feels like an itchy age right now, in many ways, and what the world is going to be like a year or two from now is open to just too many possibilities to swallow any view too seriously.

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